Economics

Are the Chinese still getting bang for their investment buck?

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in Business Spectator on February 16 2015.

It’s the trillion dollar question about China’s economy.  

The country is still investing but are the returns anywhere near what they used to be? 

What everyone overlooked in China’s GDP numbers

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in Business Spectator on January 27 2015.

We’ve missed it.  

China’s growth numbers for 2014 were released on Tuesday. But so far all the talk has been about them showing the economy expanding at its slowest pace in 24 years.   

Still plenty of growth to come from China

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: The online version of this article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on January 20 2015.

The World Bank and the IMF have cut their forecasts for Chinese growth. But with a trade deal in the bag, China still looks set to deliver for the Australian economy.     

Banking on boost from China’s middle class

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in the Sun Herald on Jaunary 16 2015.

It’s been a tough few years for the Victorian economy.   

Why China remains our best hope to repair budget woes

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Conversation on January 15 2015.

Why all the worry about China?

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in Business Spectator on January 13 2015.

China may not become the world’s largest economy after all. 

China-Australia doomsayers overlook strong fundamentals

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Conversation on December 10 2014.

Pop quiz: in 2014 the quantity of Australian iron ore demanded by China has: a) fallen sharply, b) fallen modestly, c) remained the same, d) increased modestly, e) increased sharply? 

The answer in just a moment. 

China’s Great Wall of finance comes down

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on November 20 2014.

The world has become used to seeing China as one of the global economy’s brightest stars.

According to the International ­Monetary Fund, global growth has owed more to China than any other country in every year since 2007.

China’s workers must spend if economy is to gain steam

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on August 26 2014.

It's crunch time for China's economy. The country's long-term health requires a new model where growth is driven by consumption. The next few months should tell us whether China's leaders are able to pull it off.

Last week, we saw a snapshot of where growth driven by investment eventually leads. Overcapacity in the property sector has resulted in home prices falling in most cities for three straight months.

China trade to go beyond the boom

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on June 14 2014.

Japan has a population of 128 million, China 1.4 billion. Japan’s economy is already mature. China only entered the ranks of upper middle-income countries in 2011, and the World Bank expects that the transition to a mature, high-income economy will take at least another 15 to 20 years.