ACRI Opinion

Caution on the East China Sea

December

By Bob Carr

Note: This article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on October 16 2014.

As Australia’s Foreign Minister I had quoted several times an acute observation by Lee Kuan Yew. It was on the question of the future character of China. He said:

Zombie economics: the notion China is to blame for Australia’s property bubble refuses to die

December

Despite valiant efforts by commentators such as Bernard Keane and Michael Pascoe to slay claims that Chinese buyers are making it harder for ordinary Australians to enter the housing market, the
notion refuses to die. It is the “zombie idea” afflicting the Australia-China economic relationship.

And there is a danger the zombies will multiply. Last week the Australian Financial Review reported that China recently eased restrictions on outbound investment. The implication being “a fresh wave of capital [is] expected to make its way into the Australian property market”.

Weighing the risks for Australia as China rebalances

December

China’s leaders have been vocal in their support of a new growth model, one where consumption leads the way. Economic commentators fret about what this means for Australia.

One view is that economic pain lies ahead. As the rate of resources and energy-hungry investment in China falls, commodities such as iron ore and coal will not fetch anything like the prices they did a few years ago. Investment in the natural resources sector will dry up.

Why we shouldn’t be so worried about China buying the farm

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in Business Spectator on April 23 2015.

It must be the least known part of the Australia-China economic relationship. 

China’s required reserve ratio cut will nudge Australia along

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Conversation on April 22 2015.

China trade story takes an unexpected turn

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Australian on April 2 2015.

Australia’s exports to China have taken a worrying turn, and the problem isn’t iron ore. 

Playing the China card may win votes, but it’s bad for Australia

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Conversation on March 27 2015.

Competition the true marker of Xi Jinping’s economic reforms

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in East Asia Forum on March 24 2015.

The usual assessment of Xi Jinping’s performance as China’s leader goes like this: since taking the reins at the end of 2012 he’s over-delivered on anticorruption and underwhelmed on economic reform. 

Pragmatism rules in China relations

December

By Bob Carr

Note: This article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on March 23 2015.

Australia is not being swept up by America’s anxious agitation at China’s rise.  

China has every incentive to make AIIB work

December

By James Laurenceson

Note: This article appeared in The Australian Financial Review on March 19 2015.